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War Between The US And Canada? Yes, It’s Now A Real Possibility

May 2, 2025 30 Comments

By Brandon Smith

Reality is absolutely downstream from fiction. Did the creators of South Park predict the future in their 1999 comedy film? I think we’re all suddenly realizing that prognostication is easy – Simply imagine the most absurd scenario possible and eventually it’s going to come true because we’re living in clown world.

A war between Canada and the US opening up a portal to hell might be a bit of a stretch, but recent events lead me to believe that there are very real ingredients coming together that could trigger an active conflict with our neighbors to the north. Furthermore, these factors do NOT necessarily revolve around the trade war; the trade war is secondary.

There is something explosive going on under the surface of US/Canada relations and it could very well end with a US invasion to the north.

Most conservatives have viewed Trump’s rhetoric on Canada becoming the 51st state as a joke or a troll. At least, initially. Trump himself said it was a joke in the beginning, but now he thinks it might be a good idea. For today, lets imagine that this is a real agenda for the Trump Administration and consider the pros and cons.

The Cons

1) Trump looks like an “empire builder” which is widely considered poor form in the 21st Century. Most conservatives prefer that America stick to the American sphere and deal with American problems first before trying to change the geopolitical landscape.

2) An annexation of Canada would mean welcoming millions of Canadian leftists into the US as voting citizens. Who knows how this would affect the election demographics. It’s better to leave Canada as a steam valve so that leftist LEAVE the US and live there instead. America has been suffering under the weight of increasing progressive control, and now that we are finally turning the tide we don’t want to screw it up by importing a bunch of socialists from across the border.

3) On the global stage, the leftist establishment will claim that any US expansion is proof of a rising “fascist regime”. Not that most Americans really care what the rest of the world thinks, but we do still have to engage in diplomacy and alliances and trade to a point. The more the fascism narrative grows the harder it will be to engage with other countries on civil terms, fair or not fair.

The Pros

1) The US already pays for Canada’s defense anyway. Their proximity to us keeps them safe from invasion. Their defense budget is a tiny $27 billion, compared to America’s $997 billion. Their military is minuscule, with 63,000 active members and 22,000 reserve compared to America’s 2.86 million active duty troops and nearly 800,000 in reserve.

Canada has never needed an army because the US is their daddy. If Canada was annexed, the billions expended to keep the country safe would make more sense in our modern post-cold war era.

2) Though there is a risk of bringing millions of leftists into US citizenship if Canada became the 51st state, there is also a good chance most of those people would leave the country and move overseas. Frankly, the less leftists reside in North America, the better off we all will be, and taking Canada might run them all off to another part of the world.

3) Bringing Canada into the fold would make tariffs unnecessary, allow for more efficient resource development and help dig Canada out of the desperate economic slump they are currently trapped in. But an even more important factor is keeping Canada out of the hands of the globalists within the European Union, who have been courting the nation for years and seeking far closer political ties. In military strategy this is called “area denial”.

The War Scenario

This brings us to what I believe is a potential build-up to war between the US and our neighbor. The election of Mark Carney basically seals the deal.

The former central banker is a notorious high ranking member of the World Economic Forum and a devout globalist. He has called for a global digital currency system and supports the cashless society concept. He will no doubt increase tensions with the US on every front from trade to border controls and he WILL get friendly with governments that are hostile to America.

Upon his election win his first act was to attack the US and Trump, hinting at closer connections with the EU, not to mention refusing to negotiate on trade.

The EU issue, I believe, is a hot spark in a hay bale. As I’ve noted in recent articles, the EU is without any doubt going full blown authoritarian because they know they can. The vast majority of Europeans are disarmed making any rebellion much more difficult.

They are locking up political opponents and citizens that speak out. They are instituting a vast online censorship apparatus. They are importing millions of third world migrants that can be used as enforcers to keep the native population in line. They are openly talking about forced military conscription and are courting the idea of war with Russia.

European governments are the enemy of all free people. This can only lead to bloody conflict in the future.

By extension, Mark Carney, head of the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020, has deep connections to the European elites and is loyal to the WEF. I would not be surprised if he immediately organizes a campaign for Canada to join the EU, or, creates policies which give the EU a geopolitical foothold in North America. The union’s treaty currently requires that a country be a geographical part of Europe before it can join. There are also a number of obstacles for inclusion, but as we have seen with Ukraine, the EU is happy to bend or change the rules if it suits them.

If membership is formed or a defense pact signed, the EU’s ongoing plan to create a “European Army” would then extend to Canada and put the US and Canada/Europe in a framework for escalation. Canada is working on such a defense deal with the EU right now.

It’s important to understand that this war would start out as economic and quickly become ideological. The progressives believe that populist, nationalist and conservative movements are a “threat to democracy” (which means they are a threat to the globalist order). They view American conservatives as the last obstacle to their “Great Reset” (an agenda which Carney avidly supports) and they will do everything in their power to remove that obstacle.

Carney WILL invite the EU to take a more active role in Canadian affairs and seek out their “protection”, economically as well as strategically. This would only exacerbate the diplomatic situation with the US and invite an American invasion.

The tariffs will become perpetual under Carney because it’s unlikely he will seek honest negotiations. Rather, he will seek to provoke. Around 76% of Canada’s exports are sold to the US and there is no realistic replacement for this market. Canada does not have the means to ship their goods overseas without raising prices exponentially. They would lose their competitive trade advantage. Around 30% of Canada’s GDP relies on export sales. Canada’s economy will be destroyed by long term tariffs.

This will inevitably lead to extra-economic retaliation; meaning, Canada will seek a means to hurt the US beyond reciprocal tariffs because tariffs will not help them. They will try to cut off oil exports to the US even though they have no alternative buyers. They will cut off the hydropower that they sell to states like New York, Minnesota and Michigan. They will try to interfere with US shipping lanes that cross into Canadian controlled waters (Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Seaway).

Again, this would elicit a war response from the US and victory would be swift. The existing Canadian government would have zero chance of staying in power.

For those that think a conflict with Canada sounds ridiculous, I would remind them that times are changing rapidly. What you might think of as the status quo for geopolitics today is over. As globalism breaks apart we are entering the wild west, so saddle up and sack up. There’s no room for normalcy bias anymore.

I predict that within the next two years there will be serious talk of portions of Canada (like Alberta) seceding over to the US as Carney crushes citizens with carbon taxation, increased censorship, continued mass immigration and gun bans. The new Primer Minister will make every effort to make Canada as draconian as Europe.

More progressive parts of Canada will pursue EU membership. And, the idea of war will not sound so crazy anymore. In fact, I suspect it will be a common debate around the average American and Canadian dinner table.

Again, with a globalist ghoul like Mark Carney in control of Canada the chances for heightened tensions are immense and unfortunately a large enough percentage of Canadians are gullible enough to follow his lead thinking they can win. Make no mistake, a war with the globalists is brewing and Canada is currently leaning globalist. This could result in a conflagration between Americans and Canadians in the near future.

 

 

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You can contact Brandon Smith at:

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30 Comments

  • Rodster May 2, 2025 at 6:24 am

    The two globalists, with Trump quickly becoming Biden 2.0 by prolonging the Ukraine war with his minerals deal. Now they get $50 million in arms sales and Russia is threatened with more sanctions. He didn’t seem to learn from his first term by surrounding himself with Neocons. War with Canada, I sure as hell wouldn’t rule anything out at this point.

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      Brandon Smith May 2, 2025 at 6:38 am

      Well, the mineral deal is not a security deal, it’s a reconstruction deal in the event of a peace agreement. Meaning, Ukraine gives the US access to minerals in exchange for rebuilding the country. In terms of the $50 million in arms, that amount is almost meaningless. One patriot missile battery costs $1.5 billion, so I’m not sure what $50 million will do other than help push Ukraine to enter negotiations. I would give it another month at least before ruling out a peace deal with Russia.

      • Rodster May 2, 2025 at 7:30 am

        Alexander Mercouris who has been following this has a slightly different take on all of this. Trump got sucked back into the Ukraine conflict.

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8aFSMw_MieU

      • Smart American May 2, 2025 at 7:34 am

        $50 million is only for securing rights to the minerals deal itself. Aka, starting cost for obtaining the minerals, nothing more.

      • AL May 2, 2025 at 8:45 am

        From the beginning I called this Ukraine war a redevelopment project and it seems this is exactly what is happening. Back when it started I did some searching and found documentation going back a year or more about massive redevelopment plans. Look up Norman Foster and Partners. The general idea is to use military funding to destroy a country that has been falling apart for decades. Ukraine, according to people I know from there (and I’m semi fluent in Russian) say Ukraine is the third world country of Europe. Other aspects of the war I don’t know, but to me this screamed redevelopment as at least part of the total plan.

  • Canadian May 2, 2025 at 7:00 am

    This election has proved that Canadians are the dumbest and most gullible people with memory capacity of a goldfish on the planet.

    • Not my Choice May 2, 2025 at 10:06 am

      Please look at the results of the election. Half the country voted for Conservatives. Your generalization makes you mean, cruel, dumb and the most gullible person with the memory capacity of a goldfish on the planet!

      • Canadian May 3, 2025 at 9:10 am

        Now let’s see if the half that did vote correctly will have the guts to do something about it.

  • jim May 2, 2025 at 7:28 am

    When it happens the first thing to be eliminated….Metric
    Canada has been getting ripped off since 1978 when turdeau forced it on the country.
    Go back to miles and gallons. Get rid of metric.

    • TimC May 3, 2025 at 9:09 am

      It’s good to keep priorities straight through all this.

  • Shay May 2, 2025 at 10:05 am

    Honestly, Canada is another California with very retarded brainwashed voters. If we do annex them, they should be kept as a territory like Puerto Rico instead of full statehood as that would be disastrous.

    Honestly, we can easily crush them economically but if they do join the EU, it’ll be just like the reason Russia invaded Ukraine- we will have to invade and take them by force which we could most likely do with the rednecks in Michigan just like we could with Mexico in less than a week.

  • Thermos May 2, 2025 at 10:30 am

    I can hardly believe a communist won up there but that’s what happens when there is not an OVERWHELMING majority does not care or understand what is going on to prevent the commies from cheating and yes, I believe that is what they do when the margins are NOT overwhelming.

    Communist will cause great havoc on Canada AND America, if they have not already with the boy Truedodo. Canadians and America will be in for a rude and troubling awakening with this small and emaciated cartoon Carney. Stay tooned.

  • Roundball Shaman May 2, 2025 at 3:49 pm

    “A war between Canada and the US… real ingredients coming together that could trigger an active conflict with our neighbors to the north.”
    .
    Canada has a coin called the Loonie. This is an appropriate name for Canada’s money because most of their once-proud population has turned into full-on Pure Lunacy. They have gone stark-raving mad Leftist. These people used to have some decency and common sense. Eh? Apparently, all that went away about the time that the Montreal Canadians stopped winning Stanley Cups and turned into perennial NHL also-rans.
    .
    Canada has problems. First of all, much of the time is damned cold. An entire Nation north of frigid International Falls, Minnesota? Good lord.
    .
    Then, they have an inferiority complex, Always feeling left out of things due to the size and arrogance of the big Nation to their South.
    .
    And finally, the food. Outside of Canadian bacon, what is Canadian food, anyway? A piece of bacon on everything? Maybe that sounds good to you but that is awful for your heart and guarantees you a lengthy stay in the hospital or a fast trip to your undertaker.
    .
    It would be nice to have a good relationship with Canadians. But have you ever been around a ‘needy’ person in your life? It is not pleasant as they have no good sense of self-worth and are always seeking approval. Like a Canadian.
    .
    And what is their answer to all this? Suck up to another damned Globalist. Is there no one left up there with any sense at all?
    .
    Canada rarely wins Stanley Cups any more. Baseball and basketball are second-thoughts. Canadian football is fun to watch but many games don’t have a lot of Canadians in the stands watching them. They’re all home frying up bacon, I guess. And feeding wood into the wood stove – AGAIN.
    .
    Honestly, we love ya’, Can-Ah-DAH. But we could love you more if you have a whole lot more sense these days.
    .
    Too many men on the ice? Too many dopes promoting Globalism. A major match misconduct penalty for any sane referee.
    .
    Globalism is a terminal illness. It is death for a Nation. It is death for freedom, self-rule, and independence. It is death for any lost individual who foolishly worships at the feet of the false god of Globalism and offer up the entire World as their sacrifice.

    What is the cure to Globalism? Staying sane. Staying true to the true Creator. Staying true to yourself. Not believing or supporting monsters who are committed your destruction. Not letting Cosmic Thieves steal away your body, mind, and spirit.
    .
    Canada, heal thyself or say hi to Globalist Hell forever. And go out and chop another load of firewood. And maybe call your doctor before you go back to your frying pan…

  • Mr. Lee May 2, 2025 at 9:13 pm

    As an Albertan, sentiment for separation from Ottawa stands currently at 30%, and will increase as the effect or Carneyism are realized. The same sentiment holds for Saskatchewan. My province is populist in nature has had enough with being financially eviscerated by the socialist progressives in the East with their grift and largesse.

    From influence of the Communist China, drug culture, anti gun culture, and a government debt level that will lead to default it is a matter of time before we separate. If we do not the future is bleak, and nothing will be left for our children once the socialists are done asset stripping my province.

  • JonJon May 2, 2025 at 10:27 pm

    This might be the turn of events that will bring about the North American Union since the globalists have been talking about it for a long long time.

  • Steven Kayser May 3, 2025 at 2:37 am

    War with Canada? Whoa. I don’t want to be threatening or anything, but Wolverine in Canadian, eh!? Alkali lake is in Canada. We burned the White House to the ground in 1812. Remember that. You guys invented Twinkies. STFU about Canadian Bacon!

    Seriously though, Carney was installed to break up the country. The western pieces will secure some kind of economic union with the us.
    That is a done deal.

    But the real issue I would love to hear Alt-Market’s opinion on is Trump’s reaction to King Charles offer to return the US to the UK Commonwealth as an associate member.

    Do Alt-Market readers know that Trump has already spoken positively about returning the US under the UK Commonwealth? He is going to put the US back under the King. Look it up.

    I am obviously Canadian, and Canada is done. Very sad, it was a great country. There is still time for the right wing in the US to WAKE UP to what is really happening to – your – country.

    • Avatar photo
      Brandon Smith May 3, 2025 at 2:48 am

      Yeah, as far as I can tell that was a joke. There’s no process in play to make the US part of the commonwealth, but it was definitely fodder for social medai for a few days. I think the real test for Trump will be Iran (will he keep us out of a war), and martial law (will he try to apply it as the leftists become more unhinged and violent). He also needs to get the Epstein files out, but I suspect that if they do come out it would expose half the government and the system would collapse. There are much more legitimate concerns to worry about. For now, Trump has done almost everything he promised to do, so I’m reserving judgement.

  • Cheryl May 3, 2025 at 8:36 am

    The US indeed has being a provider of protection to Canada but apparently the only country Canada needs protection from is the US . This article forgets to mention that a war with Canada has the potential to break up the US . It may be similar to the American civil war some states joining the great white North while others support the Union . Carney is a banker ,Trump is a real estate man so the 2 should be able to negotiate a trade agreement without setting the continent on fire .

    • Avatar photo
      Brandon Smith May 3, 2025 at 1:08 pm

      Not really. Canada could be invaded by any number of countries without the US umbrella. The reason the US could end up being a threat is if they embrace the European globalist model. If they don’t, no war. If they do, war is likely.

  • Rayden May 3, 2025 at 9:43 am

    “Simply imagine the most absurd scenario possible and eventually it’s going to come true because we’re living in clown world.”

    – When Clowns Run The World, You Get ClownWorld.

  • Blind Observer May 3, 2025 at 12:14 pm

    All sounds about right, but…
    The Alliance between Canada and Europe already exists, it’s called NATO.
    A war against Canada is a war against it’s sovereign, king Charles III. Not sure about the diplomatic nuances but it probably means automatic war against all the 14 nations of which he’s sovereign: UK, Australia, New Zealand, etc.
    So there are a couple of nuclear powers possibly involved, UK and France. We can laugh about them, but when a tactical nuke is used in defense against the invading US army, who would risk to push for an exchange? It doesn’t take great delivery means to infiltrate a nuke to say Chicago or a US ocean port.
    If we talk about crazy times, we cannot think they’re only “half crazy” for convenience.

    • Avatar photo
      Brandon Smith May 3, 2025 at 1:05 pm

      NATO is paid for an run by the US. They would need an entirely new defense system if the US pulls out. NATO would collapse.

  • Jack Russell May 3, 2025 at 8:27 pm

    If the US did invade Canada, I would not be far off in saying Russia would make it’s move and seize parts of the Canadian Arctic and possibly more. All the payed off media was talking about the Trump tariffs, but not one word about red China having higher tariffs on Canadian products.
    Yes is sucks we have a globalists and a WEF net zero guy in office.

  • spud May 5, 2025 at 9:13 am

    Hmmmm, the UN and the globalists want sections of the world to be ruled and controlled in regions. And don’t they want Canada, America and Mexico and Latin America under one umbrella?

    So I tend to think of WHAT the globalist want and the plans and actions they are taking working toward that goal. Chaos and dysfunction weaken national sovereignty and goals and Canada seems definitely closer chaos than us but one major bump in the road here and we’ll be right behind them.

    So isn’t the distraction of America invading Canada just hiding the coming and continuing chaos and dysfunction? Too much compliancy, lack of preparedness, and lack of organized communities will harm us.

    Also seems like we have no other leadership to help us when the wheels continue to wobble and fall off.

    The exile of the dually elected leader in Romania will be their playbook IMO.

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      Brandon Smith May 5, 2025 at 11:13 am

      I think they would love a “North American Union”, just not under the control of anti-globalist conservatives. Carney is a globalist monster. He’s going to cause problems in North America regardless. That’s his job. Removing him would only be a good thing despite any instability that might result. I wouldn’t necessarily suggest the annexation of Canada, but getting rid of Carney and removing all globalists from this region is a long term priority.

  • WarriorClass III May 5, 2025 at 10:59 am

    Trump should call Putin and offer Canada for Ukraine. That way we wouldn’t have to defend Canada, Canadians would have the totalitarian government they want, and the war in Ukraine would be ended.

  • Tom MacGyver May 6, 2025 at 12:55 pm

    If Canada went to war with the United States she would need to the US military to fight us… After all, they won’t get far with a military that consists of slingshots, two canoes, and a snowmobile…

  • Snd-It May 6, 2025 at 3:58 pm

    So I think your close, but here are my thoughts;

    -PM makes life worse then can be over the next coming years;
    -Alberta holds a referendum and votes to separate (others may follow);
    -Ottawa, for legitimate reasons calls in the military to hold all federal buildings and assests;
    -things as you would guess get a little sketchy in this situation as tensions would be high;
    -USA leans in to support Alberta as it lacks specific capabilities to deal with the situation as it is trying to leave and assists in “keeping the peace”;
    -Ottawa calls on the UN to assist with “keeping the peace” as it does not have the capabilities to work with the US “peace keepers”

    And well you can only guess where it would go from that point eh.

  • Sam Stevens May 10, 2025 at 1:49 pm

    We can give Canada say $20 million in electric blankets. We could up the bid somewhat providing they don’t include the “Newfies.” Hey, it could happen.

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